This note provides commentary and analysis on the monthly labour force survey data, which estimates Australian employment, unemployment, underemployment, labour participation and hours worked.
- 18 Apr 2024 Employment March 2024
Seasonally adjusted employment declined 6.6k in March, against market expectations of a 10.0k gain. The supersized February increase was revised slightly upwards to 117.6k against the initially estimated 116.5k.
- 21 Mar 2024 Employment February 2024
Employment surged a seasonally adjusted 116.5k in February, significantly more than the 40.0k pencilled in by the market consensus. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate dropped 0.4ppts to 3.7%. Western Australia saw the strongest percentage gain in employment of all states, both in monthly (1.7%) and annual terms (4.9%).
- 15 Feb 2024 Employment January 2024
Employment rose by a seasonally adjusted 0.5k in January, following a 62.7k slump in December. The January increase was a large disappointment for market participants, who expected a 25.0k gain. The unemployment rate rose to a two-year high of 4.1%, but this is still low by historical standards.
- 18 Jan 2024 Employment December 2023
Employment slumped 65.1k in December but the unemployment rate was steady at 3.9% (exp. 3.9%), as the decline in employment was matched by a 65.9k fall in the labour force that pushed the participation rate down to a three-month low of 66.8%, from a record high of 67.3% in November
- 14 Dec 2023 Employment November 2023
Employment surged by 61.5k in November, significantly exceeding the market expectations of a 11.5k gain. The unemployment rate increased 0.1ppts to 3.9% (mkt exp. 3.8%). Western Australia was the only mainland state that saw a decline in the unemployment rate in November, as the rise in employment more than offset higher labour force numbers.
- 16 Nov 2023 Employment October 2023
Employment surged by 55.0k in October, over double the 24.0k consensus. The second week of the October labour force survey fortnight coincided with the run-up to the referendum on 14 October. The unemployment rate rose back to 3.7%, in line with the market expectations.